FOM: Boole, Probability, and Material Implication
Steve Stevenson
steve at cs.clemson.edu
Thu Jun 21 15:59:53 EDT 2001
Robert:
Thank you very much. The article is also available online in
JSTOR. The full reference is The Philosophical Review, Vol. 85,
No. 3. (Jul., 1976), pp. 297-315.
steve
Robert Black writes:
> Well, you may know this already, but I think the key article on the topic
> is David Lewis's 'Probabilities of Conditionals and Conditional
> Probabilities', _Philosophical Review_ 1976, reprinted with a postscript in
> volume 2 of Lewis's _Philosophical Papers_. The main point is that,
> roughly, not only are conditional probabilities not the probabilities of
> material implications, i.e. truth-*functional* conditionals, they can't be
> the probabilities of *any* sort of conditionals with truth-*conditions*:
> there is *no* sense of 'if' such that uniformly p(C/A) = p(if A then C).
>
> Robert
>
> >
> >Theodore's Hailperin in *Boole's Logic and Probability* makes the
> >point that Boole seemed confused over the difference between
> >conditional probability and the probability of a implication
> >statement. If he did, he probably inherited it from Bayes and
> >Laplace.
snip....
More information about the FOM
mailing list